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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2024-07-27T06:08Z

Model Inputs:
2024-07-26T21:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-1.0, Lat.=-5.0, Speed=646.0, HalfAngle=20.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T00:52Z
2024-07-26T15:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-37.0, Lat.=0.0, Speed=328.0, HalfAngle=38.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T01:21Z
2024-07-26T20:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-5.0, Lat.=-15.0, Speed=676.0, HalfAngle=42.0, Time21.5=2024-07-27T01:23Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2024-07-29T15:44Z (+- 7 hours) [PE: -7.6 hr]
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 26.0 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 5.7
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=5
(kp)135=6
(kp)180=7

Other Location(s) Impact:
Lucy with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-30T20:34Z
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-28T14:07Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-29T10:16Z [PE: -8.9 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Lucy_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20240727_012000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
BepiColombo with estimated shock arrival time 2024-07-28T08:39Z (+-7 hours)

Submitted on 2024-07-27T06:09Z by Tony Iampietro

A Notification with ID 20240727-AL-001 was sent on 2024-07-27T06:23Z


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